Despite the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, casino REITs have actually outperformed the broader REIT sector. As discussed in our recent report, "Cheap REITs Get Cheaper", consistent with the persistently "winning factors" exhibited by the REIT sector over the last decade discussed in the prior report, higher-yielding, higher-leveraged, and "inexpensive" REITs have declined nearly twice as much as their lower-yielding, lower-leveraged, and more "expensive" counterparts in 2020. sports book malaysia had a debt ratio of 48% as of the end of Q2 compared to the 43% REIT sector average and has a Debt/EBITDA ratio of 5.6x compared to the REIT sector average of 5.2x. Despite being among the newest REITs, all three REITs command long-term bond ratings from S&P of at least BB-. Trading at a forward AFFO multiple of 10.6x, casino REITs trade at notable discounts to REIT average. At the company level, we note that MGM Growth Properties pays the highest dividend yield at 7.6%, followed by Gaming and Leisure Properties at 7.4%, and VICI Properties at 6.1%. These three REITs currently trade at similar FFO multiples with VICI commanding slightly premium valuations.
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While we remain optimistic that the worst is behind us for REIT dividend cuts, a "second wave" of shutdowns and delayed-or-reversed reopenings in major states will keep REITs on the defensive. The pandemic has stretched some major operators to the brink and can't afford a "second wave" of economic shutdowns. Better known to gamblers as "the house," this tenant list includes the largest gaming operators in the world including Las Vegas Sands (LVS), MGM Resorts (MGM), Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Caesars Entertainment (CZR), Churchill Downs (CHDN), Eldorado Resorts (ERI), Penn National Gaming (PENN), Boyd Gaming (BYD), Twin River Worldwide (TRWH), and Century Casinos (CNTY). Due to the degree of tenant concentration, however, the "binary" price action over the last several months does make some fundamental sense as a reflection of the health, solvency, and rent-paying capacity of their underlying operators. However, not only business was moving - the facility itself also moved several times until it ended up in Les Spelugues.
15 July 2020
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